Future Horizons: A Transformation Pathway Towards a Climate-Resilient Food System and a Roadmap for Science and Policy Integration
S. T. C. Amarasinghe
Department of Agribusiness Management, Faculty of Agricultural Sciences, Sabaragamuwa University of Sri Lanka, Belihuloya, Sri Lanka.
K. P. G. D. M. Polwaththa
Department of Export Agriculture, Faculty of Agricultural Sciences, Sabaragamuwa University of Sri Lanka, Belihuloya, Sri Lanka.
A.A.Y. Amarasinghe *
Department of Export Agriculture, Faculty of Agricultural Sciences, Sabaragamuwa University of Sri Lanka, Belihuloya, Sri Lanka.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
Global food systems face an unprecedented convergence of interconnected stressors: accelerating climate change, rapid biodiversity loss, escalating demographic pressure, entrenched socioeconomic inequalities, geopolitical instability, and the deepening ecological overshoot of planetary boundaries. Without deliberate, large-scale structural transformation, food insecurity is projected to intensify substantially across all world regions by 2050, with the most severe consequences concentrated in tropical and sub-tropical developing economies where adaptive capacity remains most constrained. This review synthesises current scientific understanding of the pathways, enabling conditions, and barriers associated with constructing climate-resilient food systems by 2050, drawing on peer-reviewed literature published between 2000 and 2026 and authoritative intergovernmental reports. The paper examines the biophysical and socioeconomic dimensions of climate risk to food systems; evaluates emerging technological, agroecological, digital, and governance innovations; identifies critical knowledge gaps related to systems-level integration, equity, dietary transition, and maladaptation risk; and proposes an integrated science–policy roadmap that places transformative adaptation and mitigation at the centre of food system governance. The synthesis reveals that piecemeal, sector-by-sector approaches are fundamentally insufficient to meet the dual challenge of food security and planetary sustainability: only coherent, cross-scalar, politically committed, and equity-centred action can deliver the systemic change required. Key priority areas include scaling investment in climate-smart and agroecological production systems, strengthening the integration of indigenous and local knowledge, reforming environmentally distorting agricultural subsidy structures, accelerating equitable digital agri-food transitions, and embedding food system resilience within legally binding international climate commitments and national development planning frameworks.
Keywords: Climate-resilient food systems, climate-smart agriculture, agroecology, food security, science–policy integration, adaptation, mitigation, sustainable food systems, food system governance, 2050 transformation