Financial Ratio Based Valuation in an Emerging Market: Evidence from Omantel and Investor Pricing Behaviour
Diana Fernandez *
College of Economics and Business Administration, University of Technology and Applied Sciences (UTAS), Nizwa, Sultanate of Oman.
Moza Salim Al Busaidi
College of Economics and Business Administration, University of Technology and Applied Sciences (UTAS), Nizwa, Sultanate of Oman.
Safiya Ahmed Al Sarmi
College of Economics and Business Administration, University of Technology and Applied Sciences (UTAS), Nizwa, Sultanate of Oman.
Hala Mohammed Al Nabhani
College of Economics and Business Administration, University of Technology and Applied Sciences (UTAS), Nizwa, Sultanate of Oman.
Nada Abdullah Al Abri
College of Economics and Business Administration, University of Technology and Applied Sciences (UTAS), Nizwa, Sultanate of Oman.
Zeena Mohammed Al Rauuahi
College of Economics and Business Administration, University of Technology and Applied Sciences (UTAS), Nizwa, Sultanate of Oman.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
Financial ratios remain widely used indicators for assessing firm performance, market valuation and investor pricing behaviour. This study examines the relationship between selected financial ratios and stock price movements in Omantel, Oman’s leading telecommunications company, over the period 2005–2024. Using secondary data from audited financial statements and stock market records, the study evaluates seven financial indicators: Earnings Per Share (EPS), Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E), Dividend Yield (D/Y), Return on Equity (ROE), Return on Assets (ROA), Debt-to-Equity Ratio (D/E) and Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B). Correlation analysis and multiple linear regression were applied to assess the explanatory strength of these indicators in relation to Omantel’s market price per share. The findings show that EPS and the P/E ratio are the most significant predictors of stock price, with both demonstrating positive effects. Dividend Yield approached statistical significance, while ROA, ROE, D/E and P/B did not show significant effects in the regression model. The model reported strong explanatory power, with an R² value of 0.938, indicating that the selected financial ratios explain a substantial proportion of variation in Omantel’s stock price. The study suggests that earnings-related and valuation-based measures play a central role in investor pricing behaviour in Oman’s emerging capital market.
Keywords: Omantel, stock valuation, financial ratios, EPS, P/E ratio, emerging markets, Oman stock market, investor behaviour